The Nintendo Switch will sell around 40 million units by the end of 2020, predicts a report from research firm DFC Intelligence.
Provided that Nintendo manages to achieve such a feat, the Switch will have sold three times as many units as the Wii U. As a painful reminder, the company’s last console managed to sell only around 13 million units in its first four years. In comparison, the monumental Wii console registered over 100 million sales over the course of its lifetime.
“The Switch is a compelling piece of hardware that could potentially reach a much larger addressable market,” DFC boss David Cole said. “However given the limited software and Nintendo’s poor recent track record of introducing new products we have tempered our forecasts to be conservative.”
Nintendo has not offered any estimates to how many units it expects to sell in the first year. It has, however, promised to have 2 million Nintendo Switch units available for sale worldwide for its launch month.
With a launch lineup of fewer than 10 titles, many analysts believe that the Switch will not get a strong start. Nintendo has until the holiday season to create an appeal so that everyone goes ape during the shopping season.
Despite earlier claims to meet the demand of consumers in the market, Nintendo Switch has been sold out from a number of key retailers. The company has earned a reputation over the years to keep a very strict amount of units on the market. This has caused many fans to voice angry opinions over constantly seeing a “sold out” label outside stores. This famously includes episodes for amiibo on Wii U and 3DS.
Nintendo Switch is confirmed for an official launch on March 3. It will cost $299.99 in North America, $399.99 in Canada, and $469.99 in Australia. In France and Italy, the price tag will be €349.99 and €329.99 respectively. As for the United Kingdom, Nintendo Switch will hit shelves for £279.99. Finally, it will carry a price tag of ¥29,980 in Japan.